Référence
Lussier, P., McCuish, E.C. & Corrado, R.R. (2022). Psychopathy and the prospective prediction of adult offending through age 29: Revisiting unfulfilled promises of developmental criminology. Journal of Criminal Justice, 80(2), 101770.
Résumé
This study prospectively examines the assertion that early risk factors do not predict continuity in offending across the adolescence-adulthood transition as suggested by developmental criminology. Against such statements, psychopathy is asserted to be a pivotal risk factor for offending continuity. The study is based on a sample of 326 incarcerated youth followed through age 29. Features of psychopathy were measured during adolescence using scores from the PCL:YV and adult convictions were modeled in various ways, including latent trajectories of convictions, adjusted for exposure. The study findings provide evidence that chronic juvenile offenders and those with high psychopathy scores during adolescence are at a higher risk of being repeatedly convicted in adulthood. While the study findings showed that features of psychopathy predicted adult offending outcomes at the group level, individual-level prediction is more difficult and therefore caution should be exercised before using these findings in practical settings to make predictions about whether a specific youth will continue to offend at a particular rate in adulthood.




